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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | ticklepickles444 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 53% (7602–6859, n=14461) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 60% (12–8, n=20) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.1M | $3.6M | -$168K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #53 | was PM monthly #701 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (32 of 36 open) | 65% (129 of 198 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 76% of 17 at avg 59¢, ROI −7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 29% (won 60% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 35% (won 100% of 6) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.