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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankG.HchenRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)69% (376–171, n=547)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$72K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #620PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus84% (27 of 32 open)61% (23 of 38 open)54% (40 of 74 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Finance −27 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%70% of 538 at avg 56¢, ROI +15%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)14% (won 25% of 73)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)24% (won 60% of 131)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)34% (won 81% of 183)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)28% (won 85% of 151)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankG.HchenRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $292K—Jaguars $5.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $194K—Jaguars $1.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $837—Jaguars $2.0K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $293—Ravens $1.2K