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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18googleplay0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188fantasy7788robustmst0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
| BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | Shimi1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (17–11, n=28) | 54% (170–143, n=313) | 25% (1–3, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | $786K | $186K | -$3.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | was PM monthly #764 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 73% (30 of 41 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 1 at avg 57¢, ROI +43% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 43% (won 100% of 64) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 42% (won 100% of 62) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 13% (won 100% of 20) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | Shimi1234 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $2.5K | Thunder $7.8K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $12K | Trail Blazers $5.1K | — |