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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | TMingchan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 56% (19–15, n=34) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $14.8M | $3.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | was PM monthly #552 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (28 of 36 open) | 59% (47 of 80 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 17 at avg 49¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 47% (won 100% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 53% (won 100% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | TMingchan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | Jaguars $8.2K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | Jaguars $2.9K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | Jaguars $180 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | Ravens $3.3K | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $3.5K | Warriors $520 | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | Ravens $636 | — |