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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | RN1 | stuttig | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) | 100% (5–0, n=5) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $14.9M | $63K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #35 + pinned | PM monthly #122 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 5 at avg 72¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 20% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 80% (won 100% of 4) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | RN1 | stuttig |
|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen | — | Yannick Hanfmann $885 | Alex Michelsen $23K |