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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | stuttig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (36–38, n=74) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 69% (307–141, n=448) | 100% (1–0, n=1) |
| Consensus PnL | -$388K | $779K | -$44K | $5.6K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #120 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 1 at avg 79¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 100% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | stuttig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Oskari Paldanius vs Raul Brancaccio opposite sides · consensus Oskari Paldanius | Raul Brancaccio $2.3K | — | Oskari Paldanius $57K | — |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Arthur Rinderknech $360 | — | Arthur Rinderknech $20K | — |