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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)66% (47–24, n=71)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$52K$4.1M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #545PM monthly #10PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)67% (6 of 9 open)67% (104 of 156 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=26, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%61% of 46 at avg 52¢, ROI +3%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)28% (won 31% of 13)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)15% (won 57% of 7)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)30% (won 64% of 14)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)26% (won 92% of 12)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankbtnaFlaznorpjoseph00677
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $18KNo $146—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.4KNo $387—
Will Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Leyton Orient FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $160No $14—