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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | cm2897 | Flaznorp | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 51% (1392–1329, n=2721) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $73K | $3.3M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #363 | PM monthly #17 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (10 of 16 open) | 59% (13 of 22 open) | no open consensus position | 63% (146 of 230 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | College Football ±0 pts, n=922 | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 50% of 1940 at avg 50¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 23% (won 7% of 450) | 29% (won 11% of 423) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 26% (won 41% of 508) | 16% (won 40% of 243) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 27% (won 61% of 528) | 17% (won 62% of 255) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 23% (won 90% of 454) | 38% (won 94% of 561) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | cm2897 | Flaznorp |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $270K | No $651K | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Celtics (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $436 | — | — | Bucks $251 |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $267K | — | — | No $2.0K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $25K | — | — | Over $17K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | — | Arthur Fils $5.6K |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $7.1K | — | Celtics $215 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $160 | — | — | Under $2.5K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | — | Under $40 |