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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | crmannetje | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 46% (25–29, n=54) | 47% (14701–16266, n=30967) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $23K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #948 | PM monthly #37 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 91% (30 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (50 of 111 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −18 pts, n=17 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 58% of 43 at avg 47¢, ROI +21% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 26% (won 27% of 11) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 26% (won 64% of 11) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 37% (won 63% of 16) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 12% (won 100% of 5) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | crmannetje | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $272K | — | Nuggets $236 |