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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | crmannetje | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 42% (27–37, n=64) | 55% (13343–10705, n=24048) | 48% (19652–21409, n=41061) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | -$6.0K | $1.4M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #950 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) | 69% (82 of 119 open) | 56% (15 of 27 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −18 pts, n=21 | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 54% of 48 at avg 45¢, ROI +20% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 31% (won 20% of 15) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 23% (won 64% of 11) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 35% (won 65% of 17) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 10% (won 100% of 5) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | crmannetje | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.7K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.5K | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $872 | Over $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann opposite sides · consensus Alex Michelsen | — | — | Alex Michelsen $136 | Yannick Hanfmann $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $446 | Under $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $873 | Yes $315 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $491 | No $524 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $837 | Yes $60 |
| Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $256 | No $12 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Hersonissos 3: Nikita Mashtakov vs Adrian Andreev same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | — | Adrian Andreev $5.3K | Adrian Andreev $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $95 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | — | Boluspor $751 | Boluspor $44 |
| Hersonissos 3: Alexandre Reco vs Lorenzo Carboni same side · consensus Lorenzo Carboni | — | — | Alexandre Reco $683 | Alexandre Reco $86 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $721 | Under $20 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $173 | Yes $240 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $203 | Under $41 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $51 | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4 | No $21 |