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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | cryingbabydicer87 | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 44% (6527–8232, n=14759) | 47% (14178–15785, n=29963) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | $19K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #699 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (160 of 189 open) | 86% (154 of 179 open) | 58% (19 of 33 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | Crypto −2 pts, n=3988 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 4313 at avg 51¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 42% (won 8% of 1831) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 14% (won 39% of 590) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 8% (won 72% of 363) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 35% (won 96% of 1529) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | cryingbabydicer87 | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $184K | Yes $50 | — | — |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $22K | Yes $2 | — | — |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $9 | — | — |
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.2K | Yes $5 | — | — |