Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdribblingbanana69monkeymashingkeyboard
Record (consensus markets)97% (441–15, n=456)no settled market99% (245–2, n=247)
Consensus PnL$8.4M$7$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #888PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensus76% (35 of 46 open)0% (0 of 1 open)80% (8 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • NBA +50 pts n=89, ROI +49%
  • NFL +49 pts n=63, ROI +46%
  • MLB +49 pts n=36, ROI +50%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%—100% of 240 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 69% of 36)—3% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 97% of 116)—31% (won 100% of 74)
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 99% of 124)—66% (won 100% of 158)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 100% of 56)—1% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankdribblingbanana69monkeymashingkeyboard
Bills vs. Vikings: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $538
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Josh Hokit
Ciryl Gane $351—Josh Hokit $4.0K
Bills vs. Vikings
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $529K—Bills $18K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Bills $227K—Bills $6.1K