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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankduratio12ferrariChampions2026primm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (25–32, n=57)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$8.3K-$8.8M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #866was PM monthly #87PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus83% (29 of 35 open)no open consensus position64% (14 of 22 open)82% (9 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%89% of 65 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)14% (won 78% of 9)4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)29% (won 79% of 19)26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)29% (won 95% of 19)40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)28% (won 100% of 18)30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankduratio12ferrariChampions2026primm
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $12K—Buccaneers $48KBuccaneers $18K
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96——Buccaneers $11K
Spread: Bears (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $3Buccaneers $4.3K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $235Bears $3.6K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $3Buccaneers $96
Buccaneers vs. Bears
same side · consensus Bears
——Bears $62KBears $47K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Buccaneers $33KBuccaneers $30K
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
same side · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $2.6KBuccaneers $30K