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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (545–663, n=1208) | 35% (509–962, n=1471) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (14145–15755, n=29900) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $45K | $5.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #996 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (74 of 109 open) | 48% (14 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (35 of 67 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −1 pts, n=319 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 22% of 1555 at avg 21¢, ROI 0% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 71% (won 5% of 1101) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 12% (won 42% of 182) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 8% (won 64% of 130) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 9% (won 91% of 142) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | extractive-manatee | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $31K | No $182 | — | — |