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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11777–15355, n=27132)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19707–21460, n=41167)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)67% (6 of 9 open)71% (68 of 96 open)53% (16 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $2.2K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $427K—No $351K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $308K—Yes $12K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
—Tomas Machac $9.2K—Tomas Machac $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360