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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | godblessme2026 | joseph00677 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 28% (3628–9232, n=12860) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | -$69K | $5.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #240 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (27 of 35 open) | 77% (80 of 104 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (45 of 79 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Economy −8 pts, n=196 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 36% of 6244 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 60% (won 0% of 3769) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 2% (won 40% of 123) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 4% (won 64% of 228) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 34% (won 96% of 2124) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | godblessme2026 | joseph00677 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Ravens $292K | — | — | Jaguars $8.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $194K | — | — | Jaguars $2.0K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $837 | — | — | Jaguars $2.9K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $180 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $92K | — | — | Ravens $3.3K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $2.0K | — | — | Warriors $520 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $293 | — | — | Ravens $636 |