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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 37% (1509–2541, n=4050) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $31K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #145 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 79% (132 of 168 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Elections −3 pts, n=555 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 61% of 2399 at avg 63¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 32% (won 1% of 760) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 4% (won 42% of 101) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 7% (won 63% of 156) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 58% (won 96% of 1382) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | haveagoodday | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16K | No $1.7K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $15K | No $260 | — |