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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | KasonWong | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 54% (29–25, n=54) | 50% (1248–1260, n=2508) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $3.3M | $83K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #48 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (40 of 48 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 78% (7 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 92% of 25 at avg 50¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 56% (won 100% of 14) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | KasonWong | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $124K | — | — | Cardinals $5.6K |
| Packers vs. Patriots same side · consensus Packers | Packers $104K | — | — | Packers $52K |