← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (233–260, n=493) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $5.6M | -$316K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #21 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (17 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (26 of 43 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 47% (won 100% of 100) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 47% (won 100% of 101) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 13) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $330K | — | Pacers $2.8K |
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $195K | — | 76ers $134K |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $61K | — | Pelicans $23K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $29K | — | Pelicans $33K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $17K | — | Pelicans $18K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $343 | — | Pacers $34K |
| Hawks vs. Wizards same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.8K | — | Hawks $107K |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.6K | — | Celtics $22K |