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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1Venusian
Record (consensus markets)45% (547–663, n=1210)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (14329–15967, n=30296)54% (687–574, n=1261)
Consensus PnL$11.0M$5.6M$14.8M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #18 + pinnedPM monthly #435
Sides with the consensus71% (79 of 111 open)no open consensus position59% (23 of 39 open)49% (62 of 126 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NBA +46 pts n=76, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=287, ROI +26%
  • Tennis +28 pts n=21, ROI +33%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 417 at avg 71¢, ROI +34%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 79% of 58)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2606)6% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5665)16% (won 100% of 65)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 194)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9185)23% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 8345)55% (won 100% of 230)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1Venusian
Chennai Open: Aliona Falei vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Magda Linette
——Magda Linette $23KAliona Falei $1.1K
Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Ryan Nijboer
——Ryan Nijboer $4.8KLorenzo Gagliardo $291
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Maayan Laron
opposite sides · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
——Justina Mikulskyte $3.5KMaayan Laron $1
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Manchester United FC
——Manchester United FC $2.3KAS Roma $3
Chennai Open: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mai Hontama
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
——Mai Hontama $17KMai Hontama $2.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune
same side · consensus Tommy Paul
——Tommy Paul $3.6KTommy Paul $7.1K
Taranto: Hugo Grenier vs Marvin Moeller
same side · consensus Hugo Grenier
——Hugo Grenier $1.6KHugo Grenier $36
Luanda: Zongyu Li vs Ana Sofia Sanchez
same side · consensus Zongyu Li
——Ana Sofia Sanchez $1.2KAna Sofia Sanchez $389