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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 48% (19424–21150, n=40574) | 97% (138–5, n=143) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $3.2M | $14.9M | $21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #33 + pinned | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 5% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 11% (won 100% of 14) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 100% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 61% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | RN1 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane 3: Alafia Ayeni vs Edward Winter opposite sides · consensus Edward Winter | — | — | Alafia Ayeni $128 | Edward Winter $1.7K |
| Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Magda Linette same side · consensus Janice Tjen | — | — | Janice Tjen $15K | Janice Tjen $1.8K |