← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | stepanka1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (546–663, n=1209) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (870–459, n=1329) | 76% (50–16, n=66) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $5.6M | $4.2M | $27K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #737 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (36 of 53 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (24 of 32 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 22% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 78% (won 100% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | ndb1 | stepanka1234 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $3.1K | — | No $2.0M | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $56 | — | No $1.5M | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $7.5K | — | Yes $820K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | No $327K | — | Yes $1.4K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $241K | — | Yes $503K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.4K | — | No $7.5K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $2 | — | No $35 | — |