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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehcnehc | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 61% (4138–2660, n=6798) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $5.3M | -$709K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #711 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (17 of 23 open) | 57% (60 of 106 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Politics −7 pts, n=125 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 63% of 9038 at avg 63¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 1% (won 18% of 92) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 26% (won 44% of 2309) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 40% (won 55% of 3623) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 87% of 3014) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | nehcnehc | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.9K | Over $254 |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.8K | Over $235 |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Hawks $4.7K | Wizards $116 |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | 76ers $4.6K | Cavaliers $107 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $4.4K | Hornets $237 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Kings $4.1K | Kings $110 |
| Spread: Raptors (-6.5) same side · consensus Bucks | — | — | Bucks $164 | Bucks $400 |