← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | S-Works | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 64% (1101–632, n=1733) | 75% (2553–858, n=3411) | 97% (138–5, n=143) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $4.6M | $3.6M | $21K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #66 | was PM monthly #994 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 73% (76 of 104 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 131 at avg 70¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 14% of 145) | 5% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 48% of 367) | 11% (won 100% of 14) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 60% of 509) | 23% (won 100% of 30) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) | 61% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | S-Works | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $425K | No $350K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | Yes $12K | — | — |