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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (587–850, n=1437) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) | 49% (20671–21624, n=42295) | 70% (95–40, n=135) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.6M | $4.8M | $1.4M | $28K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #98 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #843 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 72% (63 of 87 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) | 23% (3 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% | 78% of 59 at avg 70¢, ROI +12% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) | 14% (won 38% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) | 8% (won 20% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) | 12% (won 71% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) | 66% (won 95% of 39) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $409K | No $337K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $280K | Yes $11K | — | — |