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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1nehcnehc
Record (consensus markets)45% (572–710, n=1282)63% (990–573, n=1563)61% (4132–2657, n=6789)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M-$722K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #92PM monthly #658
Sides with the consensus85% (23 of 27 open)73% (53 of 73 open)78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139Politics −7 pts, n=125
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 168)1% (won 18% of 93)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)20% (won 39% of 256)26% (won 44% of 2311)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)24% (won 58% of 314)40% (won 55% of 3625)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 87% of 3019)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1nehcnehc
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Warriors $3.5K—Heat $1.9K
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $407KNo $335K—