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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1nehcnehcRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–632, n=1727)62% (6089–3688, n=9777)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.6M-$726K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #111PM monthly #485PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (35 of 40 open)71% (70 of 98 open)47% (9 of 19 open)57% (35 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147Politics −7 pts, n=125—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)1% (won 18% of 92)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)26% (won 44% of 2313)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)40% (won 55% of 3629)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 87% of 3014)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1nehcnehcRN1
Texans vs. Chargers
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $294K——Texans $8.5K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.5KOver $208
Jazz vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.5KOver $126
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $423KNo $346K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $304KYes $12K——
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
same side · consensus Patriots
Packers $143K——Packers $489
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $124K——Seahawks $3.9K
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $104K——Packers $4.0K
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $4.6KUnder $116
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $4.3KJazz $119