← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pollo07 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (988–572, n=1560) | 27% (391–1062, n=1453) | 50% (20828–20526, n=41354) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.2M | $40K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #79 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (26 of 34 open) | 76% (100 of 132 open) | 39% (7 of 18 open) | 67% (41 of 61 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Elections −2 pts, n=222 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 46% of 663 at avg 47¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 48% (won 3% of 321) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 5% (won 48% of 33) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 5% (won 50% of 32) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 42% (won 95% of 277) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | pollo07 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | No $335K | — | — |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278K | Yes $11K | — | — |