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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1primmTheMathGod
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)64% (1097–630, n=1727)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)63% (115–69, n=184)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.8M$3.6M-$46K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #52PM monthly #785
Sides with the consensus89% (32 of 36 open)73% (111 of 153 open)50% (2 of 4 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—MLB −11 pts, n=64
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%63% of 179 at avg 64¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)2% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)8% (won 47% of 15)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)59% (won 53% of 105)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)31% (won 86% of 56)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1primmTheMathGod
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $337K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $292KYes $11K——
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
——49ers $40K49ers $725