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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 70% (176–76, n=252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $4.6M | $3.6M | -$96K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #46 | was PM monthly #953 |
| Sides with the consensus | 47% (9 of 19 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (159 of 274 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 12% (won 33% of 21) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 14% (won 84% of 25) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 12% (won 90% of 21) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 62% (won 99% of 110) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | primm | TheWindKnowsmyName |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $53 | — | No $180 |