← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ndb1 | sainttroplay | whig | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (553–663, n=1216) | 65% (885–467, n=1352) | no settled market | 62% (365–221, n=586) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $4.2M | — | $328K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | — | PM monthly #981 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (22 of 39 open) | 82% (28 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (16 of 24 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | Finance −7 pts, n=26 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | — | 47% of 617 at avg 40¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | — | 45% (won 13% of 280) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | — | 17% (won 43% of 107) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | — | 13% (won 82% of 78) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | — | 25% (won 95% of 152) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | sainttroplay | whig |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | No $418K | — | — | Yes $4.2K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $278K | — | — | Yes $1.3K |