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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CandleHammerDrumsRN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)77% (1509–444, n=1953)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$2.1M$13.4M$10.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus83% (5 of 6 open)83% (5 of 6 open)90% (148 of 165 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +46 pts n=116, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=118, ROI +31%
  • Crypto +35 pts n=108, ROI +35%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 75)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 122)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 100% of 121)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCandleHammerDrumsRN1BreakTheBankbeachboy4
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Mariano Navone
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $7.0KMariano Navone $631——