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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (1510–446, n=1956) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.1M | $14.8M | -$857K | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #882 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #92 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 343 at avg 61¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 25) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 100% of 75) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 122) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 35% (won 100% of 121) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CandleHammerDrums | RN1 | pleaseplease123 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | Yes $579 | Yes $333 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Lorenzo Gagliardo vs Ian Luca Vertberger same side · consensus Lorenzo Gagliardo | Ian Luca Vertberger $21 | Ian Luca Vertberger $48 | — | — |