← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Crock95 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (185–130, n=315) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $227K | $10.6M | $5.8M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #931 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (13 of 18 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics | ||||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=108 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 401 at avg 40¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 9% of 205) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 57% of 42) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 54% of 41) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 113) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Crock95 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $71 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.2K | Yes $12K | — | — |