← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Crock95 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (186–131, n=317) | 61% (393–247, n=640) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 48% (12984–14343, n=27327) |
| Consensus PnL | $227K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #931 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=108 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 43% of 400 at avg 40¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 51% (won 9% of 204) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 57% of 42) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 54% of 41) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 95% of 113) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Crock95 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $74 | — | No $32K | — |
| Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $673 | — | Yes $13K | — |
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $210 | — | Yes $4.9K | — |