← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| CustomTrader | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 7% (39–498, n=537) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$5.4K | -$6.6M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #547 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 46% (6 of 13 open) | no open consensus position | 87% (143 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | Elections −7 pts, n=53 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 13% of 204 at avg 21¢, ROI −3% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 81% (won 7% of 165) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 23% of 22) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 0% of 5) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 83% of 12) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | CustomTrader | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus No | No $547 | — | Yes $48K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $499 | — | Yes $20K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $268 | — | Yes $13K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $9.3K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | — | Yes $5.0K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2 | — | Yes $2.1K |