← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DG-NO | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (680–1044, n=1724) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2K | -$6.6M | $11.0M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #312 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (21 of 29 open) | no open consensus position | 87% (143 of 165 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=135 | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 23% of 1611 at avg 23¢, ROI +1% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 68% (won 5% of 1098) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 50) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 61% of 294) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 76% of 169) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DG-NO | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $27 | — | No $119K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $161 | — | No $129 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $66 | — | Yes $6.8K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $129 | — | Yes $3.3K | — |
| Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | — | Yes $171 | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $78 | — | Yes $7 | — |