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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| DG-NO | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (678–1039, n=1717) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (395–248, n=643) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2K | $11.0M | $194K | -$352K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #312 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | no open consensus position | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −1 pts, n=135 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 23% of 1611 at avg 23¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 68% (won 5% of 1098) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 40% of 50) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 61% of 294) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 76% of 169) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | DG-NO | BreakTheBank | CORGII | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $30 | No $119K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $161 | No $139 | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $66 | Yes $6.8K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $147 | Yes $3.3K | — | — |
| Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5 | Yes $171 | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $25 | — | — |