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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DOLBAEB1BreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)47% (14–16, n=30)45% (537–652, n=1189)61% (393–247, n=640)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$24K$10.6M$4.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)85% (53 of 62 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 30 at avg 59¢, ROI +39%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 91% of 11)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up37% (won 100% of 11)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDOLBAEB1BreakTheBankCORGII0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3.1KNo $32K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9KNo $26K——