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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Dimpled-FoalsainttroplayBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)50% (209–212, n=421)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13853–15337, n=29190)
Consensus PnL$57K$4.4M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #893was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (49 of 83 open)no open consensus position89% (141 of 159 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 181 at avg 66¢, ROI +39%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 95% of 22)0%10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 100% of 25)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 97% of 38)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 100% of 96)0%19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDimpled-FoalsainttroplayBreakTheBankRN1
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $342—No $32K—