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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DreamwireCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$11K$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #411PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)0% (0 of 4 open)57% (87 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76——
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwireCORGIIRN1
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $226—Over $434
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $203—Under $141
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $109—Under $98
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $105—Over $4.7K
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $220—Under $2.1K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $79—Over $1.3K