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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DubaiitalyRN1beachboy40x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)50% (186–189, n=375)47% (13855–15340, n=29195)68% (43–20, n=63)41% (1101–1609, n=2710)
Consensus PnL$327$13.4M$5.8M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #971PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)100% (2 of 2 open)53% (31 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +39 pts n=188, ROI +37%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won89% of 190 at avg 50¢, ROI +38%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 60% of 10)10% (won 57% of 2537)3% (won 17% of 6)—
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 87% of 54)22% (won 94% of 5518)29% (won 56% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 92% of 122)36% (won 99% of 8928)54% (won 51% of 115)—
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)14% (won 86% of 29)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDubaiitalyRN1beachboy40x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $65Yes $1.3K