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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market43% (121–161, n=282)68% (309–145, n=454)
Consensus PnL-$6—$180K-$58K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #791PM monthly #7PM monthly #32PM monthly #36 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position63% (24 of 38 open)66% (38 of 58 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketE100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti
——Lorenzo Musetti $13KToby Samuel $1.1K
Will CP Mijas-Las Lagunas win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $19No $139
Will CF Trival Valderas win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $100Yes $16
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $13No $88
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $33No $23
Will CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $43No $129
Will Real Jaén CF win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $35Yes $44