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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
E100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market43% (129–174, n=303)67% (334–163, n=497)
Consensus PnL-$24—$117K-$108K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #791PM monthly #7PM monthly #39PM monthly #38 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (34 of 48 open)88% (7 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketE100hrall012u312nc0cgvvbvc8joseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Florida Gators vs. Florida State Seminoles
opposite sides · consensus Florida Gators
——Florida State Seminoles $7Florida Gators $1.7K
W50 Chihuahua: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Sofia Johnson
opposite sides · consensus Zuzanna Pawlikowska
——Sofia Johnson $273Zuzanna Pawlikowska $973
Lima: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios
same side · consensus Tomas Barrios
——Tomas Barrios $46Tomas Barrios $3.8K