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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ER72SEN00gringo00RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)79% (216–58, n=274)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12930–14106, n=27036)50% (986–968, n=1954)
Consensus PnL$15K$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #979was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position38% (5 of 13 open)63% (5 of 8 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=243———
Settled positions, side won71% of 243 at avg 72¢, ROI −1%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 10% of 40)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 31% of 16)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 50% of 26)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up66% (won 93% of 161)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketER72SEN00gringo00RN1primm
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $2.1KEagles $858
Spread: Commanders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $2.3KEagles $3
Spread: Commanders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Commanders $23Eagles $412
Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $766Under $1.5K