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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Eagles — but Commanders won instead.

Spread: Eagles (-2.5)

Resolved Commanders. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Eagles. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Eagles 40%

Total Value

$2.5K

Combined PnL

$-2.1K

Smart Money Signal

Eagles

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Eagles0%

Commanders100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Commanders7 traders

Total Value$2.5K

Total Shares2,532

Combined PnL+$1.1K

Eagles3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,841

Combined PnL$-3.3K

Commanders — 70%Eagles — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SU SunflowaRebuildYear	Commandersavg 42¢	$750	$1.8K	+$1.0K	46% 380-446 (826)
TA TAIWANNUMBERONE	Commandersavg 99.9¢	$485.3	$486	+$0.7	55% 1276-1054 (2330)
TO topdogbigboi	Commandersavg 70.2¢	$182.4	$260	+$77.6	48% 9549-10314 (19863)
AM AmericaFirst1CTR	Eaglesavg 29¢	$124.18	—	-$124.18	62% 2218-1351 (3569)
TA takeormakeCTR	Eaglesavg 58¢	$3.1K	—	$-3.1K	53% 4359-3821 (8180)
UP UpTheBlues<$100	Commandersavg 43¢	—	—	+$0	58% 47746-33933 (81679)
RN1<$100	Commandersavg 71.8¢	—	—	+$0	54% 57714-49978 (107692)
JU justaluckydude<$100	Commandersavg 69.9¢	—	—	+$0	53% 11155-9762 (20917)
PR primmCTR<$100	Eaglesavg 28¢	—	—	+$0	47% 1180-1337 (2517)
NA NatoAlfista<$100	Commandersavg 45¢	—	—	+$0	50% 3986-3973 (7959)

SunflowaRebuildYear

Invested

$750

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$1.0K

Record

46%

380-446 (826)

TAIWANNUMBERONE

Invested

$485.3

Value

$486

PnL

+$0.7

Record

55%

1276-1054 (2330)

Invested

$182.4

Value

$260

PnL

+$77.6

Record

48%

9549-10314 (19863)

AmericaFirst1CTR

Invested

$124.18

Value

—

PnL

-$124.18

Record

62%

2218-1351 (3569)

Invested

$3,137.37

Value

—

PnL

$-3.1K

Record

53%

4359-3821 (8180)

UpTheBlues<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

58%

47746-33933 (81679)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

57714-49978 (107692)

justaluckydude<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

11155-9762 (20917)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

47%

1180-1337 (2517)

NatoAlfista<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

3986-3973 (7959)

Smart Money Signal

Eagles

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x911038bc...46f38a

Slug

nfl-phi-was-2026-11-02-spread-away-2pt5

Traders in this Market

SunflowaRebuildYear

Commanders — $1.8K

TAIWANNUMBERONE

Commanders — $486

topdogbigboi

Commanders — $260

AmericaFirst1

Eagles — $0

takeormake

Eagles — $0

UpTheBlues

Commanders — $0

RN1

Commanders — $0

justaluckydude

Commanders — $0

primm

Eagles — $0

NatoAlfista

Commanders — $0

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