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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| EV-Andars | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (40–44, n=84) | 47% (13853–15337, n=29190) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$56K | $13.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #350 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 89% (141 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 40 at avg 63¢, ROI +37% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 100% of 18) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 100% of 15) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | EV-Andars | RN1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | — | No $250K |