← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Elias.Thornwell | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (10452–2938, n=13390) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (395–247, n=642) |
| Consensus PnL | $84 | $5.8M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (371 of 431 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 3325 at avg 89¢, ROI +2% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 58% of 101) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 96% of 98) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 98% of 167) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 100% of 2959) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Elias.Thornwell | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $289 | Yes $65 | — | — |