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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ElonSpam | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (1537–2180, n=3717) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) |
| Consensus PnL | $34K | -$8.8M | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #869 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (13 of 19 open) | 50% (16 of 32 open) | 74% (74 of 100 open) | 77% (10 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 3214 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 1109) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 39% of 472) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 59% of 742) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 28% (won 92% of 891) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ElonSpam | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.8K | — | Over $19K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $8.1K | — | Buccaneers $2.0K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | Buccaneers $822 | — | Bears $3.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $4 | — | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Bears $295 | — | Buccaneers $90 |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $28K | — | Buccaneers $24K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $13K | — | Over $14K |