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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| End123 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (332–191, n=523) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | -$26K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #816 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (47 of 54 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (112 of 152 open) | 63% (19 of 30 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −18 pts, n=18 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 443 at avg 63¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 13% of 62) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 42% of 45) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 63% of 135) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 45% (won 85% of 201) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | End123 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zay Flowers have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | — | No $150 | — |
| Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $585 | — | No $205 | — |
| Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $355 | — | No $199 | — |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award? same side · consensus No | No $653 | — | No $243 | — |
| Will the season series between the Cardinals and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | — | Yes $141 | — |