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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Eulhunter0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1
Record (consensus markets)54% (699–597, n=1296)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)
Consensus PnL$271K$19.0M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #340was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (8 of 8 open)no open consensus position67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won61% of 754 at avg 59¢, ROI +6%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢27% (won 4% of 204)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 23% of 83)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 66% of 94)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 99% of 373)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEulhunter0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1
Bratislava 2: Michal Krajci vs Niels Visker
opposite sides · consensus Niels Visker
Niels Visker $4—Michal Krajci $270
Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky Hijikata
same side · consensus Rinky Hijikata
Rinky Hijikata $1.4K—Rinky Hijikata $41K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Mary Stoiana
Mary Stoiana $229—Mary Stoiana $10K
Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat
same side · consensus Jan Kumstat
Jan Kumstat $232—Jan Kumstat $9.7K